13 Sept · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1379
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lukaszewski
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1315
FormLLWWW
57%
43%
🌟Lukaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H35-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-34)