13 Sept · 12:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1533
FormWLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Oracz
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1418
FormLLWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)