13 Sept · 14:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1554
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Slawinski
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1631
FormWLWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Slawinski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)