13 Sept · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇵🇱Piotr Maruszak
ELO 1437
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kesik
GK
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1519
FormWWLWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kesik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+82
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)