14 Sept · 00:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1198
FormLLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Sawicki
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1349
FormLWLWL
34%
66%
🌟Sawicki stays under total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Sawicki
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H28-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-12)