13 Sept · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1562
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jadach
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1491
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
🌟Ruszkiewicz goes over total as underdog 65% (57)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H16-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-1)