13 Sept · 23:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1467
FormWWWWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Stapor
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1278
FormLWLWW
70%
30%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 68% (34)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
26%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+189
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+189)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)