13 Sept · 22:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1518
FormLLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Krupa
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1373
FormWLLWL
66%
34%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+145
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)