14 Sept · 07:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1583
FormWLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Jarocki
LJ
🇵🇱Lukasz Jarocki
ELO 1682
FormWWLWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Jarocki
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H54-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-50)