14 Sept · 07:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kordaszewski
ELO 1294
FormLLLLL
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1686
FormLWWWW
15%
85%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 65% (94)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 89% · 1.13· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~72 pts
0-3
42%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+392
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+392)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)