14 Sept · 06:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1240
FormLLLLW
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Slawomir
JS
🇵🇱Janus Slawomir
ELO 1562
FormWWWWL
19%
81%
Fair odds · Slawomir
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~73 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+322
H2H12-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+322)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-3)