14 Sept · 06:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1200
FormLWLLL
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1686
FormLWWWW
10%
90%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 65% (94)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 84% · 1.18· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~71 pts
0-3
45%
1-3
31%
2-3
14%
3-2
5%
3-1
4%
Elo Gap+486
H2H22-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+486)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-4)