14 Sept · 06:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1375
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Iwasyszyn
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1294
FormWLLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Iwasyszyn
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.96· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+81
H2H43-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-30)