14 Sept · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1514
FormWWWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Ruszkiewicz
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1362
FormLLLLL
66%
34%
🌟Ruszkiewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 6% (17)
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 49% · 2.02· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H13-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)