14 Sept · 06:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1555
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Marud
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1487
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Marud stays under total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Marud
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H11-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)