14 Sept · 06:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1498
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1567
FormWLWWW
42%
58%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 95% (20)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H19-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-17)