14 Sept · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1583
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Glazowski
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1663
FormLWLLW
41%
59%
🌟Glazowski goes over total as favourite 66% (71)
Fair odds · Glazowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+80
H2H37-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-32)