14 Sept · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1457
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fomin
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1416
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)