14 Sept · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1568
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Malachowski
MM
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1647
FormWLWLW
41%
59%
🌟Malachowski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (86)
Fair odds · Malachowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)