14 Sept · 09:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1294
FormWLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1466
FormWWWWL
32%
68%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 68% (34)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H26-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-9)