14 Sept · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1663
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Glazowski
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1634
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
🌟Glazowski goes over total as favourite 66% (71)
Fair odds · Glazowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H32-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.