14 Sept · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JS
🇵🇱Janus Slawomir
ELO 1562
FormWWWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1686
FormLWWWW
37%
63%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 65% (94)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+124
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)