14 Sept · 20:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Witkowski
ELO 1518
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Witkowski
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1469
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rudomina🌟Witkowski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (30)
Fair odds · Witkowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)