14 Sept · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1526
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Cyndera
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1483
FormWWLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gesiarz🌟Cyndera rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (28)
Fair odds · Cyndera
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H16-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-11)