14 Sept · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1357
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Myszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1311
FormLWLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)