14 Sept · 20:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1273
FormLLWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lukaszewski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1388
FormWLWLW
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strus🌟Lukaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H10-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)