14 Sept · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1715
FormWWWWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Warzecha
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1483
FormWWLWL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+232
H2H19-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+232)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-6)