14 Sept · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1388
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lukaszewski
PO
🇵🇱Piotr Ostachowski
ELO 1323
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Lukaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)