15 Sept · 00:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PO
🇵🇱Piotr Ostachowski
ELO 1301
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1306
FormWLWLL
49%
51%
🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H5-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.