15 Sept · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1534
FormWWLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Urban
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1371
FormWWLLL
67%
33%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (42)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H42-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-18)