15 Sept · 22:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1309
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1311
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.