15 Sept · 22:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1496
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kaczynski
PK
🇵🇱Piotr Kaczynski
ELO 1545
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kaczynski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)