15 Sept · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1493
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Adamus
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1556
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
🌟Koczyba rarely covers set handicap as underdog 29% (14)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 47% · 2.13· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H5-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)