16 Sept · 00:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1556
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Adamus
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1493
FormLLWWW
57%
43%
🌟Koczyba rarely covers set handicap as underdog 29% (14)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H5-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)