15 Sept · 23:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1524
FormWLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Pietraszko
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1379
FormLLWLL
66%
34%
🌟Pietraszko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (40)
Fair odds · Pietraszko
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+145
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)