16 Sept · 02:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PO
🇵🇱Piotr Ostachowski
ELO 1282
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1311
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 80% · 1.26· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H6-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.