16 Sept · 06:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1463
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Glanowski
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1484
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Glanowski stays under total as favourite 63% (27)
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H14-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.