16 Sept · 06:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1446
FormLWWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1572
FormLLLWL
36%
64%
🔥 Underdog lean · Paszkiewicz🌟Paszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 74% (31)
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+126
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)