16 Sept · 05:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1322
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Szoltysek
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1270
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Szoltysek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H21-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)