16 Sept · 06:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1516
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Michalik
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1446
FormLLWWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H23-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)