16 Sept · 05:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1191
FormLWLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Brunner
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1446
FormLLWWW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Brunner
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~74 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+255
H2H14-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+255)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-2)