16 Sept · 03:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1192
FormLLLLL
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1553
FormWWLLW
17%
83%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~71 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
13%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+361
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+361)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)