16 Sept · 02:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1191
FormLWLLL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1516
FormWWWWL
19%
81%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~75 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+325
H2H24-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+325)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-7)