16 Sept · 02:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1380
FormWWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kowalczyk
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1284
FormWWWLL
61%
39%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (26)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+96
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)