16 Sept · 12:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1331
FormLLLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Sikon
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1457
FormLWWWL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Sikon
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+126
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)