16 Sept · 12:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1389
FormWWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Myszewski
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1270
FormLLWLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~80 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+119
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)