16 Sept · 12:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1487
FormLWWLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Pelka
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1292
FormLLWWL
70%
30%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~78 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+195
H2H9-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+195)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-1)