16 Sept · 12:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1322
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1463
FormWWLWL
35%
65%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 68% (34)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)