16 Sept · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1622
FormLLLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Hetnar
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1457
FormLWWWL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)