17 Sept · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1614
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pruszkowski
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1570
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
🌟Lebek stays under total as underdog 73% (33)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H18-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)